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Subject: a Spoonfull of Sugar
Posted by: Boldwin
- [35615181] Wed, Oct 12, 2011, 07:59
Amidst plenty of painful news there is a moment of comforting news now and then."China's overwhelming cost advantage over the U.S. is shrinking fast. Within five years, a Boston Consulting Group analysis concludes, rising Chinese wages, higher U.S. productivity, a weaker dollar, and other factors will virtually close the cost gap between the U.S. and China for many goods consumed in North America." - Boston Consulting Group Considering how serious a competitive threat China is it this probably good news that...We argue that China’s economy is an interactively complex system in which the component sectors are tightly coupled. Following the logic of Charles Perrow’s normal accident theory, this puts China at risk of a spectacular economic crash should one or more of these sectors begin to fail… and all are heading in that direction. - N. Roubini's site Of course if this comes true and China looks to distract domestic unhappinesss with international adventurism this wouldn't be good at all, and it obviously isn't good news for a billion Chinese people either way. |
| 1 | Boldwin
ID: 35615181 Wed, Oct 12, 2011, 08:09
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More details from Don Loepp of Plastics.com who can read behind the Boston Consulting Group paywall...According to the report, which was released Aug. 25, the return of manufacturing to the United States will accelerate as companies take into account the full costs of outsourcing to China and the strategic advantages of making products closer to consumers in North America.
The report (PDF), expands on earlier research which predicted that over the next five years, factors including 15-20 percent annual increases in Chinese wages and a strengthening yuan will nearly erase China's manufacturing cost advantage vs. low-cost U.S. states for goods imported into North America.
Even as Chinese factories become more productive, thanks to automation and improved technology, rising factory wages will make it tough to compete with higher U.S. labor productivity, the report says.
"Greater automation would undercut the primary advantage of outsourcing to China, which is access to cheap labor," said Harold L. Sirkin, a BCG senior partner and lead author of the study. "Once companies carefully look at all the costs, many will find they'll be better off making their products closer to customers in the U.S."
The report cites a number of specific examples, including one directly from the plastics industry: Coleman Co. is moving production of its 16-quart wheeled plastic coolers from China to Wichita, Kan., "owing to rising Chinese manufacturing and shipping costs."
Won't other low-wage nations like Vietnam and Mexico pick up work from China? Yes, they will, according to the report, but they will not be able to absorb all the higher-end manufacturing that otherwise would go to China, because they lack adequate infrastructure, skilled workers, scale, and domestic supply networks.
China will remain a major manufacturing power. The difference is that it will no longer be the force it is today for supplying customers in North America, the report says.
"Foreign companies will want to maintain their Chinese manufacturing operations to serve the Chinese market and the rest of Asia," said Douglas Hohner, another BCG partner who focuses on manufacturing.
"But in terms of supplying North America, China will no longer be the default option," he said
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| 2 | Boldwin
ID: 35615181 Thu, Nov 03, 2011, 21:57
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An interesting take on 'lost manufacturing jobs'.
No one ever misses the jobs that 30%-40% of Americans used to have on the farm and even the poorest of the working poor in America don't want the $2000/yrs manufacturing job in China.
I know this analysis is missing something...
like they are cleaning our clock with slave labor...
but still it hits on some truth. I'm still mulling it over. Robot labor on our right and slave labor on our left, and that frees us up to do what sort of work exactly?
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| 3 | Perm Dude
ID: 39961218 Fri, Nov 04, 2011, 00:31
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Teachers. Since there are still so many people believing mercantilism is a viable economic strategy.
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| 4 | Boldwin
ID: 35615181 Fri, Nov 04, 2011, 04:10
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Trade representative from the Lesser Antilles:
"Greetings!"
Trade representative from the USA:
"Would you like some gender studies? How would you like some gender studies?"
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| 5 | Tree
ID: 41512710 Fri, Nov 04, 2011, 14:31
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this needed its own thread? (not to mention yet another Baldwin topic title with bad grammar or incorrect spelling)
start a BLOG Baldwin. seriously. it's EASY. Wordpress.com.
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| 6 | Boldwin
ID: 35615181 Wed, Nov 09, 2011, 14:02
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Muslim cab drivers save kosher bagel shop.Shah and Ali grew up in Pakistan and met in New York City while they were working as cab drivers.
Ali worked at the bialy shop for a decade and when he learned of Ross'sdecision to call it quits, he called Shah. Shah attended a culinary arts school in Manhattan and the men had been roommates at one time.
Ali said the men tasted their first bite of a bagel from the bakery more than a decade ago.
Ali said he and his partner vow to use the same recipes and shop's kosher-certified equipment. They'll also serve the shop's popular kosher menu.
Most of the staff has stayed on to usher in the bakery's next chapter.
"We all worked together for many, many years and the bakery owner is a very, very good man," Ali said. "We want to make this business as the same, a good business."
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| 7 | Boldwin
ID: 4110312718 Mon, Nov 28, 2011, 10:00
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Oh happy day! Barney Frank announces he's not running for re-election. Chris Dodd and now Frank gone at last, gone at last! Justice delayed is still justice of a sort.
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| 8 | Boldwin
ID: 4110312718 Mon, Nov 28, 2011, 11:45
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Our long national nightmare is finally over.
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| 9 | bibA
ID: 48627713 Mon, Nov 28, 2011, 12:16
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Our long national nightmare is finally over.
Hopefully that means an end to your constant negativity re the US.
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| 10 | sarge33rd
ID: 010232811 Mon, Nov 28, 2011, 12:23
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Our long national nightmare is finally over.
How MANY of us felt, with the coming over 2008 and the end of GWBs Presidency. Also, how we felt with the downfall of "Duke" Cunningham, amongst others. Though we keep waiting for it, and thinking it painfully obvious, every time Palin/Bachmann/Perry/Gingrich/Cain opens their mouths.
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| 11 | Perm Dude
ID: 3210201915 Mon, Nov 28, 2011, 13:03
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The nightmare of having an outspoken gay man in any position of power must have been crippling to those people. I'm sure they attended to that with the grace and humility Jesus requires of them...
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| 12 | Boldwin
ID: 4110312718 Mon, Nov 28, 2011, 15:23
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Chris Dodd was gay?
Getting those two out of our banking committees was crucial. Getting them out of congress was a nice bonus.
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| 13 | Boldwin
ID: 1510432817 Mon, Nov 28, 2011, 19:11
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Cancel the celebration. Maxine Waters to inherit Frank's seat as senior Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee.
Could a worse choice be possible? I'd rather communist Bernie Sanders got it than that flake. Perhaps her utter stupidity will limit the damage somewhat.
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| 14 | Pancho Villa
ID: 597172916 Mon, Nov 28, 2011, 19:14
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Can't believe twice in a minute, but...agreed.
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| 15 | Tree
ID: 41512710 Mon, Nov 28, 2011, 20:22
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Sanders is a Socialist, you nincompoop. maybe one day, you'll learn the difference.
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| 16 | Perm Dude
ID: 3210201915 Mon, Nov 28, 2011, 21:22
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Still--better than Maxine Waters.
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| 17 | Perm Dude
ID: 3210201915 Mon, Nov 28, 2011, 21:23
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As an aside Sanders, I believe, is not a Democrat and therefore would be ineligible to be chair of any committee, according to party rules.
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| 18 | Pancho Villa
ID: 597172916 Mon, Nov 28, 2011, 22:46
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Sanders is a senator, not a congressman.
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| 19 | Boldwin
ID: 1510432817 Mon, Nov 28, 2011, 23:09
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I'd almost rather Tree was heading that committee than Waters. Anyone but...wtf are they thinking really? Seniority? This thing is gonna run our economy? Republicans do not dare lose ever again.
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| 20 | Tree
ID: 41512710 Tue, Nov 29, 2011, 00:18
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Republicans do not dare lose ever again.
then they dare not follow your political leanings.
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| 21 | Pancho Villa
ID: 597172916 Wed, Nov 30, 2011, 09:59
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US Nears Milestone: Net Fuel Exporter
U.S. exports of gasoline, diesel and other oil-based fuels are soaring, putting the nation on track to be a net exporter of petroleum products in 2011 for the first time in 62 years.
A combination of booming demand from emerging markets and faltering domestic activity means the U.S. is exporting more fuel than it imports, upending the historical norm.
Those who claim the EPA and the Department of Energy under the current administration have crippled the nation's energy production are either lying to us are just too ignorant to look at the data.
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| 22 | biliruben
ID: 59551120 Wed, Nov 30, 2011, 10:11
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Yeah, they are going to reverse a key gulf pipeline early next year.
Oil - another potential short.
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| 23 | boikin
ID: 532592112 Wed, Nov 30, 2011, 10:13
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That article is totally misleading, It doesn't mean the US exports more oil than it takes in just it exports more refined products then it takes in and considering the largest refining plants in the world are here in the US I am surprised we have not been a net exporter of refined products for a while. Now just think if the oil pipline from Canada had been built the net exporting rate would only increase.
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| 24 | biliruben
ID: 59551120 Wed, Nov 30, 2011, 10:22
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I think that's right, boikin.
Government Stats
U.S. Petroleum Production (crude oil, NGPL, and other oils) 7,513,000 barrels/day U.S. Crude Oil Production 5,512,000 barrels/day U.S. Crude Oil Imports 9,163,000 barrels/day U.S. Petroleum Product Imports 2,590,000 barrels/day U.S. Net Petroleum Imports 9,440,000 barrels/day Dependence on Net Petroleum Imports 49%
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| 25 | Pancho Villa
ID: 597172916 Wed, Nov 30, 2011, 10:52
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it exports more refined products then it takes in
Yes, and refined products are under the auspices of the EPA and Dept. of Energy.
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| 26 | boikin
ID: 532592112 Wed, Nov 30, 2011, 14:22
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all of them? I not sure how you know that but considering how many products are made from refined oil I guess the EPA and Dept. of Energy pretty much oversee every aspect of our daily life.
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| 27 | Boldwin
ID: 321121173 Mon, Jan 02, 2012, 20:35
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Finally some good news for Greece.
Greece's IRS Goes on Strike
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| 28 | Boldwin
ID: 12214143 Sun, Apr 01, 2012, 11:43
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Actual Democrat hope and change.
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| 29 | Boldwin
ID: 8154410 Mon, Feb 04, 2013, 22:03
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I rarely come across anything at all that suggests realistic pressure within the muslim world to resist terrorism.
This is very interesting, and also shows what they are up against, the risks they take doing so.The international Ulema conference on suicide bombings that was supposed to take place in Kabul in late January has been postponed...
The conference of Islamic scholars was originally proposed to Islamabad in November 2012 by Salahuddin Rabbani, the chairman of Afghanistan's High Peace Council, and was to specifically address the issue of suicide bombings and reiterate the finding that they are un-Islamic and not permitted by the Koran.
Salahuddin Rabbani is the son of former High Peace Council Chairman Burhanuddin Rabbani, who was killed by a Taliban suicide bomber at his home in Kabul in September 2011. A few days before he was assassinated, he had asked Islamic scholars at a conference in Tehran to release a fatwa saying that Islam forbids suicide.
At the time of Burhanuddin's death, his daughter Fatima told Reuters that her father thought "the majority of Afghan Taliban were keen to join the [peace] process, but the Pakistani branch of the group opposed it."
The Pakistani government did not cooperate in the investigation into Burhanuddin's death, and Afghanistan's Interior Minister and the chief of the National Directorate of Security blamed the suicide bombing on Pakistan, its Inter-Services Intelligence Directorate, and Mullah Omar's Quetta Shura. ...
This latest attempt to convene an influential group of Islamic scholars to pronounce on the impermissibility of suicide bombings was initially agreed to by Pakistan after it was proposed in November 2012. But on Dec. 27, the Taliban issued a statement condemning the proposed conference as "clear American intrigue" designed to "create mistrust among Mujahideen, paving a way for the US to perpetually control Afghanistan." The Taliban called instead for the Ulema -- especially those in Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Egypt, and Saudi Arabia -- to support the mujahideen, their "spiritual offspring," as a matter of religious duty and to boycott the "fraudulent gathering."
Then on Jan. 9, Mullah Omar weighed in on the proposed conference, issuing a four-page-statement warning that clerics who participate in the conference will be "answerable to God" and will be discredited by the believers. He dismissed the planned conference as a desperate ploy by the United States, and reiterated the Taliban's insistence that "they will not lay down weapons until achievement of their goals and establishment of a real Islamic state."
It is not surprising that the Taliban should resist an effort to remove the tactic of suicide bombing from their arsenal; it is also a tactic favored by the Taliban's close ally, al Qaeda. Nor is it surprising that plans for the conference seem to be disintegrating in the face of the Taliban's condemnation. The fact that the most recent mention of the proposed conference makes no reference to suicide bombings as part of the agenda suggests that if the conference proceeds at all, that important topic will not be addressed.
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| 30 | Boldwin
ID: 49142129 Tue, Feb 12, 2013, 10:59
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